It’s Time to Shape Our Future

By Gideon Malherbe / June 15, 2020

In our CV-19 Scenario Planning, we often talk about second order effects – the consequences that occur after the primary effect. For example, the initial practices of social distancing and business-constraining regulations had the consequences of airlines reaching a near standstill and sending their leased planes back to their lessors. Orders for new planes got…

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What’s Next…? Second Order Consequences of Covid-19

By Gideon Malherbe / May 27, 2020

There are a few rather profound second order consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic. By second order, we mean not readily visible, or in your face, or what the press and talking heads are going on about. Let’s look at 3 examples of second order consequences: Government Intervention The state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China’s war against…

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From Spaghetti Westerns to Superheroes to Star Wars… Covid-19 Scenario Sets

By Gideon Malherbe / May 4, 2020

The advent of COVID-19 in December 2019 saw governments, think tanks and business leaders rapidly fretting about the potential scale and scope of this novel pandemic. Soon the strategic conversation settled on projected rates of infection and the ability of healthcare infrastructures to cope with potentially surging demand. With these projections varying widely, we created…

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Don’t Get Trapped… You still have to build your business.

By Gideon Malherbe / April 29, 2020

With the advent of COVID-19, we have many executives getting overwhelmed daily by crisis issues. For example: Can I charge employees’ leave days against their stay at home orders? Does PPP include commissions? Can I dismiss someone who doesn’t show up to virtual work sessions? And so on. It’s easy to get paralyzed in considering…

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Expanding Leadership Capacity in a Crisis Scenario

By Gideon Malherbe / April 9, 2020

Leadership capacity is the ability to effectively lead your team when your energy and their energy is getting diverted to a multitude of critical issues. To not succumb and freak out, you are required to apply clear thinking that targets the most crucial elements of leading your team. Your state of mind during these crisis…

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Wild Cards – Plan for the Unexpected with Scenarios

By Gideon Malherbe / March 23, 2020

Over the past 30 years, VCI has conducted literally hundreds of Scenario Planning workshops for clients wanting to add greater dimension to their Strategic Planning processes. Scenario Planning is a specific technique that helps an enterprise create several storylines, each with a series of strategic action plans. One of the unique and very useful tools…

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From Black Box to White Box

By Gideon Malherbe / February 27, 2020

A big problem with machine learning is the notion that it’s a black box. The production or logistics process is fully “sensored” up and the black box tells operators what to do. There is no understanding nor clarity about the logic behind the instructions. Many developers are now designing new machine learning algorithms that are…

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2020 Questions

By Gideon Malherbe / January 20, 2020

Here’s a fundamental test for your company’s Digital Transformation in 2020. First, on the negative side – What elements of your offering are going to see a deterioration in revenue or price due to digital disintermediation/automation during 2020? (For example, most stock broking firms had to let go of their transactional costs in 2019 and…

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Digital Deployment and Employment

By Gideon Malherbe / November 25, 2019

We’ve done many digital intensity assessments and technology roadmaps that would justify a critical look at the relationship between digital deployment and employment. It is true that digitization disintermediates required human activity, not only in many rote work environments, but also in complex, decision-making processes. It is also true that digital deployment requires a very…

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Global Report: Looming cyber threat in mining paves platform for change

By Xavier Evans / November 19, 2019

Cybersecurity is considered one of the biggest threats to the world economy, but according to Australian researchers at State of Play, it will take a catastrophic event for it to be taken seriously in the mining industry. Through interviews, survey and deep analysis of Australia’s largest mining and service companies, including BHP, Rio Tinto, South32,…

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